Ratings - 1st April 2010
Russell Degnan

Recently completed matches

2nd TestNew ZealandvAustralia
Pre-rating927.691216.63
Form-22.65+6.01
Expected MarginAustralia by 94 runs
Actual MarginAustralia by 176 runs
Post-rating917.901220.63

A microcosm of Australia's summer. You'd think another collapse for less than 250 would be worrying the selectors, but it is obvious that the selectors are only interested in change following losses, or discarding those amongst the "playing group" that don't look the part, regardless of performance. Losses were in short supply all summer though. While Australia was inconsistently getting out for low scores, the three mediocre sides played were inconsistently achieving respectable totals. Over two innings, Australia always did enough to win, but better teams would punish them. Whether England are a better team, in Australia, in November, remains to be seen.

For New Zealand, Australia's bookend was their highlight, which is sad, given the inherent meaningless of the tie, and lack of interest shown from this side of the Tasman. They end the summer on a low, their rating continuing to go backwards, now ranked eighth again, and recently lost their two best bowlers. They need, as always, batsmen who can construct an innings. Some of the young players show potential, but they are a long way from being competitive with the top four.


Forthcoming matches

I-Shield MatchNamibiavBermuda
Pre-rating364.81170.84
Form-28.91-29.47
Expected MarginNamibia by 147 runs

An important game in a minor competition. The loser is almost certain to miss the final, the winner will need to beat one of Uganda or the U.A.E. in their remaining game. Namibia put up much the better performance in their game, taking first innings points against a reasonable U.A.E. side, whereas Bermuda collapsed twice for less than 150. While that, and the ratings would point to the home side winning comfortably, associate games are notoriously unpredictable, and noone has played enough games to make reliable predictions. With four days of thunderstorms predicted as well, perhaps a draw is the most likely outcome.


Rankings at 1st April 2010
1.Australia1220.63
2.India1209.46
3.South Africa1187.88
4.England1129.25
5.Sri Lanka1103.96
6.Pakistan1073.90
7.West Indies926.27
8.New Zealand917.90
9.Bangladesh628.23
10.Zimbabwe556.79

11.Ireland554.16
12.Scotland470.23
13.Namibia364.81
14.Afghanistan359.64
15.Kenya353.20
16.U.S.A.296.99
17.Uganda280.54
18.Netherlands220.31
19.Nepal179.54
20.Canada177.74
21.Bermuda170.84
22.U.A.E.155.26
23.Hong Kong147.15
24.Cayman Is134.24
25.Malaysia108.49

Shaded teams have played fewer than 2 games per season. Non-test team ratings are not comparable to test ratings as they don't play each other.

Idle Summers 1st April, 2010 11:42:02   [#] 

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